The Boeing Company designs and manufactures commercial aircraft, military planes, satellites, and space systems, along with related services. Its three business divisions focus on commercial airliners for passenger and cargo transport, defense and aerospace products including military aircraft and missile systems, and global support services such as maintenance, supply chain management, pilot training, and technical solutions for both commercial and defense customers. Founded in 1916, the company operates worldwide from its headquarters in Arlington, Virginia.
1Y: 171.55 (-14.7%) · range 167.14–252.15
entry readiness 76 · GOOD SETUP · exit proximity 0
Value area 193.47–240.91 · 95% of 120d volume overhead · heavy supply
BA is a house divided against itself: the daily lane flags an ENTRY ZONE with GOOD-SETUP readiness 76 and a strong EMA leg (76), yet the fixed-threshold score calls it a SHORT CANDIDATE at composite 29 with a technical leg of just 4 and a Markov DOWN state at 89% persistence. That contradiction, plus a -61.9% earnings surprise and no Monte Carlo on record, means no orthogonal family convincingly confirms a long here — the setup is 'watch, not triggered,' so NEUTRAL is the honest read.
- Daily lane is WATCH only — 'ENTRY ZONE but setup not confirmed,' readiness 76, size 0.0%, so Orca itself is not committing
- Absolute score 29/100 tagged SHORT CANDIDATE with technical leg 4 and MeanRev regime
- Markov trend DOWN with P(stay) 89% — strong downtrend persistence
- Earnings surprise -61.9% (2026-10-27) and congress net -1 (0 buyers/1 seller) weigh on the fundamental case (fundamentals leg 36)
- EMA/technical leg is strong at 76 and daily readiness is 76 [GOOD SETUP] — the tape near this level is constructive
- Trader Sentiment fired high at 0.923, the loudest contributing source
- Conviction blend sits at a middling 50/100, not outright bearish
Invalidated if: A confirmed daily entry trigger with the Markov state flipping out of DOWN and the absolute score clearing the SHORT-CANDIDATE threshold would flip this to bullish; a close that breaks down from the entry zone with Breakdown Signal (0.689) strengthening confirms the bearish tilt.
| Source | Score | Last seen |
|---|---|---|
| trader-sentiment | 0.923 | Oct 28, 2026 |
| breakdown-signal | 0.689 | Oct 28, 2026 |
| forum-chatter | 0.343 | Oct 29, 2026 |
| Horizon | Return | MFE | State |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20d | -2.04% | -2.04% | 2/20d |
| 40d | -2.04% | -2.04% | 2/40d |