FedEx Freight Holding Company operates a freight transportation business specializing in partial-load shipments across the United States and abroad. The company provides expedited delivery options with guaranteed timing windows, standard economy service, and specialized offerings including white-glove handling and critical shipments. It also operates a digital platform for managing transportation logistics and serves various customer segments through multiple service brands under the FedEx corporate name.
1Y: 122.37 (-19.0%) · range 121.73–188.46
entry readiness 83 · STRONG SETUP · exit proximity 0
Value area 138.26–169.92 · 100% of 78d volume overhead · heavy supply
FDXF is a genuinely conflicted, thin dossier: Orca's daily lane flags a strong entry-zone readiness (83) yet refuses to confirm, while the fixed-threshold absolute score labels it a SHORT CANDIDATE (27/100) and the Markov model is firmly in a DOWN state. With zero source detections in 21 days and no Monte Carlo on record, there is no orthogonal confirmation to break the tie — the honest read is wait-and-see, not directional conviction.
- Absolute composite only 27/100 with SHORT CANDIDATE label and technical leg 18 — weak fixed-threshold standing
- Markov trend DOWN with P(stay) 91% — strong persistence of the current downtrend
- Daily lane is WATCH not OPEN: 'ENTRY ZONE but setup not confirmed', size 0.0%, agg 0.1
- Turtle lane PASS — no breakout structure, stop reference $109.97
- Daily readiness is 83 [STRONG SETUP] and EMA/technical leg in the blend reads 83 — a coiled setup that could trigger
- Realised forward return from the prior flag was +3.5% (positive, though a single immature horizon)
- Pattern and peer-cluster overlays are NEUTRAL, not CONTRADICT — no active bearish confirmation either
Invalidated if: A daily-lane flip from WATCH to OPEN on a confirmed entry trigger with the Markov state leaving DOWN would turn this read bullish; a decisive close below the ~$109.97 turtle stop would turn it bearish.
No source detections in the last 21 days.
| Horizon | Return | MFE | State |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20d | +3.46% | +3.46% | 1/20d |
| 40d | +3.46% | +3.46% | 1/40d |