G-III Apparel Group designs and distributes clothing and accessories for men and women globally through wholesale and retail operations. The company owns and licenses numerous fashion brands spanning categories like outerwear, sportswear, swimwear, handbags, and footwear, along with branded merchandise for major sports leagues and universities. Its products reach consumers via traditional retailers, e-commerce platforms, and online partners.
1Y: 28.17 (+4.5%) · range 24.73–36.68
entry readiness 93 · STRONG SETUP · exit proximity 0
Value area 29.47–36.73 · 82% of 120d volume overhead · heavy supply
GIII is a genuinely conflicted dossier: a fresh CEO insider buy and a small earnings beat pull bullish, but the absolute score brands it a SHORT CANDIDATE in a MeanRev regime with an 86%-persistent DOWN Markov trend. The daily lane itself refuses to commit — readiness is a strong 93 but it stays WATCH at 0% size because the entry trigger hasn't fired. Until that setup confirms, the orthogonal insider signal isn't enough to overrule a tape the engine reads as down-trending and technically weak.
- Insider Activity is the top source at 0.800, backed by a form4 cluster showing the CEO bought $1,117,600
- Earnings Surprise +4.0% (2026-09-02) and Financial News 0.120 add secondary bullish confirmation
- Daily-lane readiness is 93 [STRONG SETUP] in an ENTRY ZONE, and the blend's EMA/technical leg reads 93
- Absolute score is 30/100 = SHORT CANDIDATE with a technical leg of just 9 — directly contradicting the blend's EMA 93
- Markov trend is DOWN with P(stay) 86%, and pattern/peer overlays are both NEUTRAL (no confirmation)
- Daily lane is only WATCH at 0.0% size — setup not confirmed — and there is no Monte Carlo on record to quantify risk/expectancy
- VScore 30, Buildup 42 and Fundamentals 37 are all soft; the case rests on one insider print
Invalidated if: Read flips bullish if the daily lane confirms its entry trigger (WATCH→OPEN) with Markov turning UP; flips clearly bearish if price extends the DOWN regime and the CEO buy draws no follow-through.
| Source | Score | Last seen |
|---|---|---|
| insider-activity | 0.800 | Sep 16, 2026 |
| earnings-surprise | 0.133 | Sep 17, 2026 |
| financial-news | 0.120 | Sep 9, 2026 |
Not yet labeled — the study prices these as positions mature.