Innio N.V. manufactures and sells gas engines under the Jenbacher and Waukesha brands for applications in data centers, power generation, and industrial compression through its Equipment segment. The company also operates a Services segment offering maintenance, spare parts, engine overhauls, and digital fleet management solutions throughout an engine's operational life. The firm maintains operations across Germany, Europe, North America, and other international markets.
1Y: 16.30 (-51.7%) · range 15.11–41.13
entry readiness 71 · GOOD SETUP · exit proximity 0
Value area 15.15–28.20 · 86% of 101d volume overhead · heavy supply
INIO is a split dossier: genuinely strong fundamentals (76) and a big earnings beat (+36.4%) collide with a broken tape — technical leg 24, a sticky Markov DOWN state (P(stay) 90%), and a CONTRADICT peer-cluster read. The daily lane itself declines to commit (WATCH, setup not confirmed despite readiness 71), and the single prior flag matured badly (-23% at 20d, -30% at 40d), so the fundamental edge has not translated into price. Until a trend trigger confirms, this is a watch-and-wait name, not an entry.
- Fundamentals leg 76 and Absolute fundamental 76 — the clear strength of the blend
- Earnings Surprise source fired at 0.900 with a +36.4% consensus beat
- EMA/technical leg 71 and readiness 71 [GOOD SETUP] place it in the ENTRY ZONE
- Markov trend DOWN with P(stay) 90% and Absolute technical leg only 24
- Peer cluster CONTRADICT (lag_z -1.0) and chart pattern NEUTRAL (score 0) — no validation support
- Prior flag matured at -23.1% (20d) and -30.0% (40d) despite +8.2% MFE — the thesis previously failed
- Daily lane is WATCH, not OPEN (size 0.0%, setup not confirmed); VScore just 18 and no Monte Carlo on record
Invalidated if: A confirmed daily entry trigger with the Markov state flipping out of DOWN would turn this bullish; conversely a fresh lower low that keeps the DOWN regime sticky confirms the bearish tape and voids any constructive read.
| Source | Score | Last seen |
|---|---|---|
| earnings-surprise | 0.900 | Oct 30, 2026 |
| Horizon | Return | MFE | State |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20d | -23.13% | +8.16% | mature |
| 40d | -29.99% | +8.16% | mature |