Rayana AI
Account
LEN
SHORT CANDIDATEMeanRev
Composite
22.80
Technical
15.20
Fundamental
25.30
Rank
Price
78.36
Hurst
0.14
As of
Sep 17, 2026
Dailyhomebuilders · IMPROVING
Lennar Corporation
Consumer CyclicalResidential Construction

Lennar Corporation is a homebuilder operating across the United States through regional divisions covering the East, Central, South Central, and West. The company constructs single-family homes, manages residential land acquisition and development, and builds multifamily rental properties. Beyond construction, Lennar provides mortgage financing, title insurance, and closing services to homebuyers, and originates commercial mortgage loans for securitization. The company also invests in various funds and serves first-time buyers, upgrading homeowners, active adults, and high-end purchasers. Founded in 1954 and headquartered in Miami, Florida, it operates through multiple business segments including homebuilding, financial services, and multifamily real estate.

Market cap
$19.2B
P/E (trailing)
12.49
P/E (forward)
12.50
PEG ratio
11.30
Dividend yield
250.00%
Beta
1.40
52w range
76.07 – 134.07
Return on equity
+7.37%
Profit margin
+4.93%
Revenue growth
-5.20%
Earnings growth
-31.50%
Price history

1Y: 79.70 (-38.8%) · range 77.90–131.06

Cycle position
16/ 100 cycle scoreENTRY ZONE
ENTRYAPPROACHMID-BULLNEAR-TOPEXIT

entry readiness 76 · GOOD SETUP · exit proximity 0

Conviction
52/ 100 · maturity 43%
VScore.2236
Buildup.2655
EMA entry setup.3276
Fundamentals.1925
Volume profile
POC
86.94
Price vs POC
-9.9%
Overhead supply
99%
Runway
+7.3%

Value area 83.1090.78 · 99% of 120d volume overhead · heavy supply

AI analyst read
NEUTRAL42/100 convictionSep 18, 2026

LEN is a name at war with itself: the daily lane flags a GOOD SETUP entry zone on strong EMA/technical, but nearly every independent overlay leans down — the absolute score labels it a SHORT CANDIDATE, Markov reads DOWN with 88% persistence, and the peer cluster CONTRADICTS. The bull case rests on one non-orthogonal source (retail forum chatter) plus a stretched short-term technical, which is not enough to override the fundamental and trend evidence. Net read is neutral with a bearish tilt until a confirmed entry trigger actually fires.

For
  • Daily lane readiness 76 [GOOD SETUP] in ENTRY ZONE; EMA/technical leg 76 is the strongest blend component
  • Homebuilders cluster is IMPROVING with RS-mom +102.3
  • Buildup leg 55 shows some second-order acceleration
Against
  • Absolute score 23/100 = SHORT CANDIDATE, technical leg just 15, MeanRev regime
  • Markov trend DOWN with P(stay) 88% and peer cluster CONTRADICT (lag_z +0.1)
  • Fundamentals leg 25, earnings surprise -4.7% (2026-09-16), congress net -1 seller, and cluster is in outflow despite IMPROVING rank
  • Only orthogonal-family source is Retail Forum Chatter 0.766 — a single narrative leg, not confirmation; prior flag realised -1.0% at both 20d and 40d
  • No Monte Carlo on record — no quantified risk/expectancy to lean on

Invalidated if: A confirmed daily entry trigger with the Markov state flipping out of DOWN would turn this bullish; conversely a break below the recent range on continued outflow confirms the bearish tilt.

Contributing sources
SourceScoreLast seen
forum-chatter
0.766
Sep 17, 2026
trader-sentiment
0.138
Sep 17, 2026
Pattern & cluster
Pattern
NEUTRAL
Cluster

IMPROVING · rank 18 · outflow

Forward returns
HorizonReturnMFEState
20d-0.96%+0.49%3/20d
40d-0.96%+0.49%3/40d