Lululemon athletica designs and sells high-performance workout clothing, shoes, and related gear for both women and men globally, with operations across North America, Asia-Pacific, and Europe. The company's product range includes apparel designed for activities like yoga, running, and general fitness training, along with complementary accessories. The brand distributes through multiple channels including its own retail locations, e-commerce platform, a resale program for used items, and partnerships with fitness establishments.
1Y: 99.39 (-41.5%) · range 95.98–215.88
entry readiness 81 · STRONG SETUP · exit proximity 0
Value area 101.63–140.39 · 100% of 120d volume overhead · heavy supply
LULU is a genuinely conflicted dossier: the daily lane sees a STRONG SETUP (readiness 81, ENTRY ZONE) and a strong EMA leg (81), but the fixed-threshold engine grades it a SHORT CANDIDATE (composite 24, technical 7) inside a MeanRev regime with a Markov DOWN state that has a 91% probability of persisting. Both other tactical lanes (turtle, mean-reversion) PASS, and no Monte Carlo is on record, so nothing arbitrates the tie. The read turns on that unresolved divergence — a possible entry-zone setup fighting a dominant, high-persistence downtrend — which nets out neutral until the tape confirms a trigger.
- Daily lane readiness 81 [STRONG SETUP] in ENTRY ZONE, EMA/technical leg 81
- Earnings surprise +15.1% (2026-09-03) and Trader Sentiment source 0.960, Retail Forum Chatter 0.697
- Conviction blend 53/100 sits in coin-flip territory, not a directional signal
- Absolute score composite 24/100 = SHORT CANDIDATE with technical leg just 7
- Markov trend DOWN with P(stay) 91% — high-persistence downtrend
- All three tactical lanes non-committal: daily WATCH (setup not confirmed), turtle PASS, mean-reversion PASS (RSI2 66)
- Congress net -1 (0 buyers/1 seller); pattern and peer-cluster both NEUTRAL; no Monte Carlo on record
Invalidated if: A daily-lane entry trigger firing (turning WATCH into OPEN above the setup) with the Markov state flipping off DOWN would confirm the bull case; conversely a break of the turtle stop ~$89.63 confirms the bearish downtrend read.
| Source | Score | Last seen |
|---|---|---|
| trader-sentiment | 0.960 | Sep 4, 2026 |
| forum-chatter | 0.697 | Sep 17, 2026 |
| earnings-surprise | 0.533 | Sep 17, 2026 |
| breakdown-signal | 0.215 | Sep 8, 2026 |
| financial-news | 0.120 | Sep 9, 2026 |
| Horizon | Return | MFE | State |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20d | +2.16% | +2.16% | 1/20d |
| 40d | +2.16% | +2.16% | 1/40d |