Netflix operates a global streaming platform delivering television shows, movies, documentaries, interactive games, and live events in multiple languages and genres. The service allows subscribers to watch content on internet-enabled devices ranging from televisions and set-top boxes to smartphones and portable media players. Founded in 1997, the company is based in California.
1Y: 62.08 (-44.5%) · range 61.99–115.75
entry readiness 81 · STRONG SETUP · exit proximity 0
Value area 65.00–80.05 · 99% of 120d volume overhead · heavy supply
NFLX sits in an unconfirmed entry zone: readiness is a GOOD-SETUP 78 and the daily blend is a middling 58, but no lane has actually fired — daily is WATCH, turtle PASS, mean-reversion PASS — and the absolute score contradicts the setup. The read turns on the clash between a constructive EMA/technical leg and a decisively negative trend regime (Markov DOWN, P(stay) 93%, MeanRev regime, absolute technical 4/100). With Monte Carlo expectancy only mildly positive and a breakdown signal firing, this is a watch-not-act name rather than a conviction long.
- Daily readiness 78 [GOOD SETUP] in the ENTRY ZONE, with EMA/technical leg 78 and fundamentals 61
- Peer cluster CONFIRM with lag_z +0.2, and earnings surprise +6.1% on record
- Monte Carlo slightly positive: P(profit) 53%, expectancy 0.29R, median +1.4% over 40d
- Orthogonal demand tells firing — Retail Forum Chatter 0.768 and Event Calendar 0.671
- No lane confirmed the setup: daily WATCH (size 0.0%), turtle PASS, mean-reversion PASS
- Markov trend DOWN with P(stay) 93% and absolute composite only 36/100 (technical 4, MeanRev regime)
- Breakdown Signal 0.465 is firing against the bull case; chart pattern NEUTRAL (score 0)
- MC P(stop) 31% and p05 -13% show real downside against a thin +1.4% median edge
Invalidated if: A close below the turtle stop ~$58.00, or the Markov DOWN state persisting without an entry trigger, confirms the neutral-to-weak read; a daily move from WATCH to OPEN would flip it bullish.
| Source | Score | Last seen |
|---|---|---|
| forum-chatter | 0.717 | Oct 30, 2026 |
| event-calendar | 0.671 | Oct 16, 2026 |
| trader-sentiment | 0.500 | Oct 28, 2026 |
| breakdown-signal | 0.465 | Oct 22, 2026 |
| earnings-surprise | 0.271 | Oct 30, 2026 |
| video-trends | 0.143 | Oct 13, 2026 |
| congressional-trading | 0.085 | Oct 30, 2026 |
| Horizon | Return | MFE | State |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20d | +1.25% | +3.09% | 2/20d |
| 40d | +1.25% | +3.09% | 2/40d |