NIKE designs and sells athletic footwear, apparel, equipment, and accessories under brands including NIKE, Jordan, and Converse across North America, Europe, Asia, Africa, and Latin America. The company manufactures performance gear such as bags, socks, sports balls, and protective equipment, along with licensed collegiate and professional team apparel. NIKE distributes products through its own retail stores and digital platforms, as well as through wholesale channels including sporting goods retailers, department stores, and independent distributors, and also operates fitness apps and digital consumer services.
1Y: 36.36 (-47.9%) · range 35.78–72.19
entry readiness 73 · GOOD SETUP · exit proximity 0
Value area 40.13–45.52 · 100% of 120d volume overhead · heavy supply
NKE is a conflicted dossier that resolves to a wait-and-see: the daily lane sees an ENTRY ZONE with a decent readiness of 73, but the fixed-threshold score flatly disagrees, labeling it a SHORT CANDIDATE at composite 33 with a Markov trend that stays DOWN 91% of the time. Contributing evidence is entirely soft-narrative (sentiment/forum/video) with no orthogonal hard family firing, and the pre-trade Monte Carlo carries negative expectancy — so there is no confirmed edge either direction right now.
- Daily lane readiness 73 [GOOD SETUP] in an ENTRY ZONE, and the blend's EMA/technical leg is 73
- Blended conviction 51/100 sits at the fence, not a directional signal
- Earnings surprise printed +81.8% (per digest, dated 2026-06-30) — a fundamental positive on record
- Absolute score 33/100 tags NKE a SHORT CANDIDATE with a technical leg of just 5 — directly contradicting the blend's technical read of 73
- Markov trend DOWN with P(stay) 91% and a MeanRev regime
- Monte Carlo negative: expectancy -0.21R, P(profit) 48%, P(stop) 31%, median -0.6%
- Contributing sources are all soft narrative (Trader Sentiment 0.846, forum 0.596, video 0.295) with congress net -1 seller and no insider/13F/PEAD confirmation
- Daily lane itself is only WATCH — setup explicitly not confirmed, size 0.0%
Invalidated if: A confirmed entry trigger with the Markov state flipping UP would turn this bullish; a decisive breakdown reinforcing the SHORT CANDIDATE / DOWN-91% regime would turn it bearish.
| Source | Score | Last seen |
|---|---|---|
| trader-sentiment | 0.846 | Sep 16, 2026 |
| forum-chatter | 0.596 | Sep 17, 2026 |
| video-trends | 0.295 | Sep 17, 2026 |
| Horizon | Return | MFE | State |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20d | +0.49% | +0.49% | 1/20d |
| 40d | +0.49% | +0.49% | 1/40d |