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1Y: 91.73 (-56.1%) · range 91.73–258.93
entry readiness 88 · STRONG SETUP · exit proximity 0
Value area 141.54–177.17 · 99% of 120d volume overhead · heavy supply
RDDT sits on a genuinely conflicted dossier: a respectable conviction blend (57) leaning on strong fundamentals (70) and the daily lane's entry fingerprint (readiness 73) is contradicted by the absolute scorer's technical leg of just 14, a Markov DOWN state holding 89%, and a WEAKENING cluster. The contributing sources that fired are all one family — retail/narrative chatter — not the orthogonal convergence that would justify conviction, and the only realised forward return on record is -4%. This reconciles to a hold-pattern name where fundamentals are fine but tape and rotation are not yet cooperating.
- Fundamentals leg 70 in the blend and 70 in the absolute score — the one consistent bright spot
- Daily lane readiness 73 in ENTRY ZONE with EMA/technical 73 in the blend
- Earnings surprise +26.3% on the consensus snapshot
- Absolute scorer technical leg is just 14 vs blend's EMA/technical 73 — a sharp internal contradiction the digest itself flags (scorer diverges)
- Markov trend DOWN with P(stay) 89% and internet_adtech cluster WEAKENING at rank 9
- Contributing sources are a single narrative family (Retail Forum Chatter 1.000, Trader Sentiment 0.846, App Rankings 0.320) — no orthogonal insider/13F/congressional confirmation; no Monte Carlo on record
- Only realised flag returned -4% at both 20d and 40d with MFE -4% (never went green)
Invalidated if: Markov flipping out of DOWN and the absolute technical leg rising off 14 — or conversely a cluster flip to LAGGING plus a break below the entry zone would confirm the bearish tape and void the neutral read.
| Source | Score | Last seen |
|---|---|---|
| forum-chatter | 1.000 | Oct 30, 2026 |
| trader-sentiment | 0.778 | Oct 30, 2026 |
| earnings-surprise | 0.443 | Oct 30, 2026 |
| app-rankings | 0.340 | Oct 30, 2026 |
| breakdown-signal | 0.134 | Oct 30, 2026 |
none
LAGGING · rank 12 · shift
| Horizon | Return | MFE | State |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20d | -4.00% | -4.00% | 1/20d |
| 40d | -4.00% | -4.00% | 1/40d |