Capstone Holding Corp. distributes and installs building products across the United States and Canada through two operating divisions: TotalStone and Carolina Stone. The company supplies manufactured and natural stone veneer products under various brand names, along with moisture management systems, landscape materials, and masonry fireplaces to dealers, contractors, builders, and homeowners.
1Y: 0.14 (-88.2%) · range 0.14–1.35
entry readiness 66 · GOOD SETUP · exit proximity 0
Value area 0.14–0.43 · 100% of 120d volume overhead · heavy supply
CAPS reads as a weak, downtrending sub-dollar name where the hard fixed-threshold mechanics point down even as a softer conviction blend looks lukewarm. The absolute score tags it a SHORT CANDIDATE with a near-dead technical leg, the Markov state is DOWN with high persistence, and the daily lane itself refuses to confirm an entry. The read turns on resolving the conflict between the blend's EMA/technical=65 and the absolute technical=9 — the fixed-threshold and trend evidence wins.
- Absolute score 30/100 labelled SHORT CANDIDATE with technical leg at just 9 and MeanRev regime
- Markov trend DOWN with P(stay) 92% — strong downtrend persistence
- Daily lane is WATCH only: 'setup not confirmed', readiness 65 MODERATE, size 0.0% — Orca declines to act
- $0.15 tape is a distressed penny-stock context; fundamentals weak at 37
- Conviction blend EMA/technical leg reads 65, contradicting the absolute technical of 9 — a genuine divergence
- Daily cycle is ENTRY ZONE with readiness 65, so Orca sees a potential (unconfirmed) long setup, not an active breakdown
- Dossier is thin: one source (Event Calendar 0.800), no Monte Carlo, NEUTRAL pattern and peer cluster — low coverage caps conviction
Invalidated if: A confirmed daily entry trigger (readiness clearing with an OPEN action) plus a Markov flip out of DOWN would break the bearish read.
| Source | Score | Last seen |
|---|---|---|
| event-calendar | 0.800 | Oct 6, 2026 |
Not yet labeled — the study prices these as positions mature.