Cracker Barrel operates a chain of combined restaurant and retail stores across the United States, featuring casual dining establishments serving three meals daily along with takeout and delivery options. Each location includes an attached gift shop selling home décor, clothing, toys, collectibles, food products, and other merchandise. The company was founded in 1969 and is based in Tennessee.
1Y: 51.62 (+21.0%) · range 24.52–59.04
entry readiness 69 · GOOD SETUP · exit proximity 0
Value area 27.05–51.62 · 27% of 120d volume overhead · moderate overhead
CBRL shows a decent technical setup (EMA leg 71, readiness 71 GOOD SETUP) riding a large earnings surprise, but nearly every corroborating overlay pushes back and no single lane will actually pull the trigger. The daily lane sits at WATCH (setup not confirmed), turtle and mean-reversion both PASS, and the read turns on whether that lone earnings signal can overcome a DOWN Markov regime and a contradicting peer cluster — right now it can't, so this is a wait-and-see name.
- Earnings Surprise is the only firing source at 0.967, backed by a +395% surprise on 2026-09-23
- Daily lane readiness 71 [GOOD SETUP] with cycle in ENTRY ZONE
- EMA/technical leg 71 is the strongest leg of the 57/100 conviction blend
- Absolute score just 42/100 → HOLD / NEUTRAL, with a Neutral regime
- Markov trend DOWN with P(stay) 94% — strong persistence against upside
- Peer cluster CONTRADICT (lag_z -0.4) and chart pattern NEUTRAL (score 0)
- Turtle is an ⤓extended breakout with only 33% P(win); RSI2 at 97 flags overbought (MR PASS); no Monte Carlo on record
Invalidated if: A daily entry trigger confirming the ENTRY ZONE setup with the Markov state flipping out of DOWN would flip this to bullish; conversely a close below the turtle stop ~$46.64 confirms the bearish regime.
| Source | Score | Last seen |
|---|---|---|
| earnings-surprise | 0.933 | Sep 25, 2026 |
Not yet labeled — the study prices these as positions mature.